{"code": 0, "message": "success", "updated_at": "2026-08-07T08:18:58Z", "stats": {"total": 100, "week": 0, "month": 0, "critical": 16, "high": 21}, "resonance": [], "data": [{"id": 204, "title": "FOMC Rate Decision", "datetime_utc": "2026-01-29T19:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-01-30T03:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - FOMC", "source": "Federal Reserve", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Federal interest rate decision, press conference at 2:30 PM ET", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "FOMC", "actual_value": "3.50-3.75% (hold)", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% to start 2026. Two dissents: Governor Miran and Governor Waller both favored a 25bp cut. Third consecutive hold following three rate cuts in late 2025.", "news_notes": "Rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Dissenters Miran and Waller wanted 25bp cut amid concerns about jobs climate. Fed continued pause after cutting 75bps in late 2025. Statement maintained cautious stance on inflation. Markets expected hold with high confidence.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-03T01:22:53Z"}, {"id": 1257, "title": "Fed Chair Congressional Testimony — Powell Semi-Annual Testimony", "datetime_utc": "2026-02-11T15:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-02-11T23:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "U.S. Senate Banking Committee", "source_url": "https://www.banking.senate.gov/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Fed Chair semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony. Forward guidance parsed word-by-word; can move markets violently.", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Powell semi-annual testimony to House/Senate (Feb 11, 2026)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Fed Chair Powell semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony (Feb 11, 2026). This was before Warsh's confirmation as Chair. Context: Fed funds rate ~3.64% (Feb 2026, per FRED).", "news_notes": "Powell's semi-annual Monetary Policy Report testimony (Feb 11, 2026). This preceded Warsh taking over as Fed Chair. Effective federal funds rate was 3.64% in Feb 2026 (FRED FEDFUNDS). Historical event — Powell's final semiannual testimony cycle before the Chair transition.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:33Z"}, {"id": 1258, "title": "Fed Chair Congressional Testimony — Powell Semi-Annual Testimony", "datetime_utc": "2026-02-12T15:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-02-12T23:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "U.S. House Financial Services Committee", "source_url": "https://financialservices.house.gov/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Fed Chair semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony. Forward guidance parsed word-by-word; can move markets violently.", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Powell semi-annual testimony to House/Senate (Feb 12, 2026)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Fed Chair Powell semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony (Feb 12, 2026). Second day of testimony. Fed funds rate ~3.64% (Feb 2026, per FRED).", "news_notes": "Powell's semi-annual Monetary Policy Report testimony (Feb 12, 2026), day 2. This preceded Warsh taking over as Fed Chair. Effective federal funds rate was 3.64% in Feb 2026 (FRED FEDFUNDS). Historical event — Powell's final semiannual testimony cycle before the Chair transition.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:34Z"}, {"id": 205, "title": "FOMC Rate Decision", "datetime_utc": "2026-03-18T19:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-03-19T03:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - FOMC", "source": "Federal Reserve", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Federal interest rate decision, press conference at 2:30 PM ET", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "FOMC", "actual_value": "3.50-3.75% (hold)", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "FOMC voted 11-1 to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a 25bp cut. Dot plot signaled one rate cut in 2026 and another in 2027. GDP growth projected at 2.4%, PCE inflation at 2.7%.", "news_notes": "Hold decision amid elevated uncertainty from war with Iran and rising oil prices. Powell said 'too soon to know' war's economic impact. Fed upped inflation outlook to 2.7% (headline and core PCE). Unemployment projected at 4.4%. Seven of 19 participants expected rates unchanged in 2026. Long-run funds rate steady at 3.1%. Powell's term ending in May; Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as successor.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-03T01:22:42Z"}, {"id": 206, "title": "FOMC Rate Decision", "datetime_utc": "2026-05-06T18:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-05-07T02:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - FOMC", "source": "Federal Reserve", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Federal interest rate decision, press conference at 2:30 PM ET", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "FOMC", "actual_value": "3.50-3.75% (hold)", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Historic 4 dissents (last time since October 1992): Miran favored a 25bp cut; Hammack, Kashkari, Logan opposed easing bias in the statement. Possibly Jerome Powell's final meeting as Chair.", "news_notes": "Rate held at 3.50%-3.75% for third consecutive meeting. Four dissents: Gov. Stephen Miran favored 25bp cut; Presidents Hammack (Cleveland), Kashkari (Minneapolis), Logan (Dallas) opposed easing bias language. Markets priced 100% chance of hold. Inflation noted as 'elevated' reflecting energy price increases. Senate Banking Committee advanced Kevin Warsh's nomination as next Fed Chair same day. Powell signaled he would remain on Board indefinitely.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-03T01:22:34Z"}, {"id": 91, "title": "IPO: Snow Rothschild Acquisition Corp. on NASDAQ Global", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-09T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-09T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 1, "title": "ADP Employment Change Weekly", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-09T12:15:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-09T20:15:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "ADP", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:29Z"}, {"id": 2, "title": "Balance of Trade", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-09T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-09T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Estimate: -56.4 | Unit: $", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": "$", "symbol": null, "actual_value": "$-55.9B", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "4月贸易逆差559亿美元，好于预期", "news_notes": "美国4月贸易逆差559亿美元，较前值566亿美元收窄。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:21:51Z"}, {"id": 6, "title": "Existing Home Sales MoM", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-09T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-09T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Unit: %", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:20Z"}, {"id": 7, "title": "EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-09T16:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-10T00:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "EIA", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:20Z"}, {"id": 8, "title": "API Crude Oil Stock Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-09T20:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-10T04:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "API", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:20Z"}, {"id": 100, "title": "IPO: Parabilis Medicines, Inc. on NASDAQ Global Select", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-10T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-10T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global Select", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 9, "title": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-10T11:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-10T19:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "MBA", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:20Z"}, {"id": 10, "title": "Core Inflation Rate MoM", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-10T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-10T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Estimate: 0.3 | Unit: %", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": "%", "symbol": null, "actual_value": "0.2%", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "5月核心CPI环比上涨0.2%，低于0.3%预期，较4月0.4%回落", "news_notes": "美国5月核心CPI环比上涨0.2%，低于市场预期的0.3%，较前值0.4%明显回落，显示核心通胀压力有所缓解。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:20:18Z"}, {"id": 16, "title": "EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-10T14:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-10T22:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "EIA", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:20Z"}, {"id": 18, "title": "Monthly Budget Statement", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-10T18:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-11T02:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Estimate: -270 | Unit: $", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": "$", "symbol": null, "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:19Z"}, {"id": 80, "title": "IPO: Forbright, Inc. on NASDAQ Global Select", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-11T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-11T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global Select", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 20, "title": "Initial Jobless Claims", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-11T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-11T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Estimate: 219", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "229K", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "6月6日当周初请失业金人数22.9万，高于21.9万预期", "news_notes": "美国截至6月6日当周初请失业金人数为22.9万人，高于市场预期的21.9万人，较前周22.5万人上升。劳动力市场出现轻微走弱信号。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:21:01Z"}, {"id": 102, "title": "IPO: SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP on NASDAQ Global Select", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-12T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-12T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global Select", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "SPACE", "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 22, "title": "Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-12T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-12T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Estimate: 46", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "48.9", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值48.9，高于46预期，较5月44.8大幅上升", "news_notes": "美国6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值录得48.9，大幅高于市场预期的46，较5月前值44.8显著回升。消费者信心改善反映经济前景预期好转。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:21:01Z"}, {"id": 23, "title": "NY Empire State Manufacturing Index", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-15T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-15T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "NY", "actual_value": "5.70", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "6月ISM制造业PMI为54.0，但纽约联储制造业指数回落至5.70", "news_notes": "6月纽约联储制造业指数大幅回落至5.70，显示纽约地区制造业活动扩张明显放缓。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:21:33Z"}, {"id": 24, "title": "Industrial Production MoM", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-15T13:15:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-15T21:15:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "102.6475", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "Official data from FRED", "news_notes": "Resolved via FRED API for Industrial Production", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T06:55:48Z"}, {"id": 25, "title": "NAHB Housing Market Index", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-15T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-15T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "NAHB", "actual_value": "35", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "6月NAHB住房市场指数35，低于36预期，较5月37下降", "news_notes": "美国6月NAHB住房市场指数录得35，低于市场预期的36，较5月前值37下降。builder信心回落，反映高利率对房地产市场的持续压制。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:21:17Z"}, {"id": 106, "title": "IPO: Yorkville International Capital Corp. on NASDAQ Global", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-16T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-16T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 26, "title": "ADP Employment Change Weekly", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-16T12:15:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-16T20:15:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "ADP", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:29Z"}, {"id": 27, "title": "Building Permits MoM Prel", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-16T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-16T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Unit: %", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "-0.7%", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "5月建筑许可环比下降0.7%", "news_notes": "美国5月建筑许可从142.3万降至141.3万，环比下降约0.7%。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:00Z"}, {"id": 33, "title": "API Crude Oil Stock Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-16T20:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-17T04:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "API", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:19Z"}, {"id": 107, "title": "IPO: Cantor Equity Partners VII, Inc. on NASDAQ Global", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-17T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 34, "title": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T11:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-17T19:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "MBA", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T08:05:15Z"}, {"id": 35, "title": "Retail Sales Control Group MoM", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-17T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Unit: %", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "0.7%", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "5月零售销售控制组环比上涨0.7%，高于0.4%预期", "news_notes": "美国5月零售销售控制组（用于GDP计算的核心零售）环比上涨0.7%，高于市场预期的0.4%，显示消费内需强劲。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:20:43Z"}, {"id": 38, "title": "Business Inventories MoM", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-17T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Unit: %", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:22:19Z"}, {"id": 41, "title": "EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T14:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-17T22:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "EIA", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T08:05:15Z"}, {"id": 43, "title": "Fed Interest Rate Decision", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T18:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-18T02:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Unit: %", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "3.50%-3.75% (unchanged)", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "美联储维持联邦基金利率在3.50%-3.75%不变，连续第四次会议按兵不动，符合市场预期", "news_notes": "2026年6月17日FOMC会议决定维持联邦基金利率目标区间在3.50%-3.75%不变，为连续第四次会议维持利率不变。这是新任美联储主席Kevin Warsh主持的首次会议。市场普遍预期此次不会调整利率。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:19:40Z"}, {"id": 2699, "title": "FOMC Rate Decision", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T18:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-18T02:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - FOMC", "source": "Federal Reserve", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Federal interest rate decision, press conference at 2:30 PM ET", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "FOMC", "actual_value": "3.50-3.75% (Fed Funds effective rate: 3.63%)", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "FOMC Jun-17-2026: Rate held at 3.50-3.75% target range (effective 3.63%).", "news_notes": "June 17, 2026 FOMC decision. Effective federal funds rate at 3.63% per FRED FEDFUNDS series (June 2026 observation). Target range appears to be 3.50-3.75%. The Fed has been in an easing cycle. This was a hold meeting with the next moves dependent on incoming inflation data (June CPI subsequently showed disinflation). FRED series: FEDFUNDS.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:12:15Z"}, {"id": 45, "title": "Fed Press Conference", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-17T18:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-18T02:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "新闻发布会", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "新任美联储主席Kevin Warsh主持首次FOMC新闻发布会", "news_notes": "2026年6月17日，新任美联储主席Kevin Warsh在FOMC利率决议后主持了其首次新闻发布会。Warsh就利率决策、经济前景和通胀展望回答了记者提问。", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T02:19:54Z"}, {"id": 105, "title": "IPO: Texas Ventures Acquisition IV Corp on NASDAQ Global", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-18T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-18T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "IV", "actual_value": "$10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "news_notes": "IPO priced at $10.00 per share (typical SPAC pricing)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:11:53Z"}, {"id": 47, "title": "Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-18T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-18T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "3.3", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "June index rose to 3.3 from -3.9 in May", "news_notes": "June index rose to 3.3 from -3.9 in May", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T07:42:23Z"}, {"id": 48, "title": "Net Long-term TIC Flows", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-18T20:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-19T04:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "TIC", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T08:05:15Z"}, {"id": 49, "title": "ADP Employment Change Weekly", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-23T12:15:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-23T20:15:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "ADP", "actual_value": "30.75K", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "ADP Weekly Employment Pulse: US private employers added avg 30,750 jobs/week (4-week avg to June 6), up from 26.5K previous. First pickup in hiring since May 2.", "news_notes": "ADP NER Pulse data for week ending June 6, 2026: 30,750 vs prior 26,500. Historical trend: 5/30=26.5K, 5/23=29K, 5/16=30.5K, 5/9=35.75K, 5/2=peak. This marks the first sequential improvement in hiring pace since early May, though still below the April highs. Preliminary figures subject to revision.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T13:14:56Z"}, {"id": 51, "title": "S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-23T13:45:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-23T21:45:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "PMI", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T08:05:15Z"}, {"id": 53, "title": "API Crude Oil Stock Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-23T20:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-24T04:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "API", "actual_value": "-0.77M barrels", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "API reported a crude oil inventory drawdown of 0.77 million barrels for the week ending June 19, 2026, compared to a larger 8.33 million barrel drawdown in the prior week.", "news_notes": "API Weekly Petroleum Status Report released June 23, 2026. The drawdown of 0.77M barrels was smaller than the previous week's 8.33M barrel decline. No consensus estimate was available for comparison. Per Trading Economics, actual value was -0.765M barrels.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-23T21:18:11Z"}, {"id": 110, "title": "IPO: Alpex Acquisition Corp on NASDAQ Global", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-24T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-24T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "10.00", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "Alpex Acquisition Corp (ALPXU) IPO priced at $10.00 per unit. SPAC offering 10M units on NASDAQ Global Market, targeting $100M gross proceeds (plus 1.5M over-allotment). Underwritten by D. Boral Capital LLC.", "news_notes": "SPAC blank-check company founded Jan 2026, targeting next-gen tech acquisitions. Each unit: 1 Class A ordinary share + 1 redeemable warrant ($11.50 exercise) + 1 right (1/4 share). Cayman holding company structure. Latest SEC filing: S-1/A on 2026-06-05. Proceeds to fund initial business combination.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T00:13:19Z"}, {"id": 54, "title": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-24T11:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-24T19:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "MBA", "actual_value": "6.47%", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate eased to 6.47% for the week ending Jun 18, down from 6.52% the prior week — the lowest since late May.", "news_notes": "Weekly average contract rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages. Prior: 6.52% (Jun 11), 6.48% (Jun 4). Modest decline of 5 bps signals slightly improving borrowing conditions for homebuyers.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T14:13:49Z"}, {"id": 55, "title": "Current Account", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-24T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-24T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "-226.8B USD", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "U.S. Current Account deficit widened to -$226.8 billion in Q1 2026 (BEA release Jun 24), versus -$221.1B in Q4 2025 — a modest deterioration.", "news_notes": "BEA quarterly balance on current account, millions of dollars. Q4 2025: -221,065M. Q1 2026: -226,828M. Deficit widened by ~5.8B as the goods trade gap remained the primary driver.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T14:14:08Z"}, {"id": 57, "title": "New Home Sales MoM", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-24T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-24T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "-7.3% MoM", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "New Home Sales posted a -7.3% month-over-month decline in May 2026 (580K vs 626K in April), a notable deterioration in housing demand.", "news_notes": "Computed from FRED HSN1F: (580-626)/626 = -7.35%. The drop extends a two-month slide (Mar 664K → Apr 626K → May 580K), indicating persistent weakness in new home purchases.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T14:13:52Z"}, {"id": 58, "title": "EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-24T14:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-24T22:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "EIA", "actual_value": "-6.088M barrels", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excl. SPR) fell by 6.088 million barrels to 412.134M for the week ending June 19, 2026 (from 418.222M prior week). Total crude including SPR was 743.325M, down 15.148M.", "news_notes": "No analyst consensus available (impact: Medium, no estimates). Weekly change computed from EIA Table 4: Commercial (Excluding SPR) 412.134M vs 418.222M = -6.088M draw. Stocks are 0.7% below the same week last year (415.106M). Cushing, OK stocks at 18.957M (-1.077M w/w). SPR at 331.191M (-9.060M w/w). Total petroleum stocks (excl. SPR) at 1,202.320M (-0.543M w/w).", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T15:21:11Z"}, {"id": 93, "title": "Fed Bank Stress Test Results", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-24T20:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-25T04:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "All 32 banks passed; aggregate CET1 capital declined only 1.6 pp; $708B loan losses", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Fed's 2026 annual bank stress test confirms large banks are well positioned to weather a severe recession. All 32 banks tested remained above minimum CET1 capital requirements. Despite absorbing over $708B in total loan losses under the hypothetical scenario, aggregate capital declined only 1.6 percentage points, staying above minimum requirements. The hypothetical scenario included a severe global recession with a 39% decline in commercial real estate prices. Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman noted the results 'underscore the strength of the banking system.' Importantly, this year's results will NOT impact large bank capital requirements — current requirements stay in place until 2027.", "news_notes": "Scenario severity was similar to the prior test. Key figures: $708B+ total loan losses, 1.6pp aggregate capital decline, 32 banks tested, all above minimum CET1. Commercial real estate prices fell 39% in the hypothetical scenario. Outcome is supportive for bank stocks (XLF) as no new capital restrictions imposed until 2027. Press release URL: federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260624a.htm", "resolved_at": "2026-06-24T20:12:50Z"}, {"id": 103, "title": "IPO: DPC Holdings Ltd on NYSE", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-25T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-25T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NYSE", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "DPC", "actual_value": "Price range 28.00-32.00; 23.33M shares; ~700M deal size", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "DPC Holdings Ltd (Doncasters Group, aerospace/defense engine components) IPO on NYSE under ticker DPC. Price range set at 28.00-32.00 for 23,333,333 shares, targeting ~700M deal size. Underwriters: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, Moelis, RBC Capital, Roth Capital. Qatar sovereign wealth fund (QIA) concurrently investing 75M. Final IPO price not yet confirmed as of run time.", "news_notes": "IPO scheduled for Jun 25, 2026. Company manufactures precision aerospace and defense engine components. Listed via S-1 registration. Latest news (Jun 22, 2026) announced the 28-32 price range; no final pricing announced yet at 08:10 EDT run time. Parent: Doncasters Group, backed by Melrose Industries.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-25T00:12:08Z"}, {"id": 60, "title": "Chicago Fed National Activity Index", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-25T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-25T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "0.14", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.14 in April 2026, up from -0.15 in March, indicating slightly above-trend national economic activity.", "news_notes": "Source: FRED series CFNAI. Latest = April 2026 = 0.14 (prior March revised to -0.15). A positive reading above 0 indicates growth slightly above the historical trend; the swing back into positive territory after March's negative print suggests the economic expansion regained its footing in April. (Note: this is the latest available CFNAI release as of the June 25 data window; May CFNAI is typically released later.)", "resolved_at": "2026-06-25T13:20:20Z"}, {"id": 71, "title": "Fed Goolsbee Speech", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-25T22:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-26T06:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Speech delivered (no numeric result)", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "Fed's Goolsbee delivered a speech on 2026-06-25. Speech-type events carry no quantitative estimates or published numeric results. No specific headline takeaway available via automated data sources.", "news_notes": "Speech event: no FRED/BLS series mapping applies. No estimate or previous value provided. Resolved with placeholder value since there is no numeric metric to report. FRED API key not configured; web_search unavailable.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-25T23:11:28Z"}, {"id": 73, "title": "Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-26T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-26T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "+0.4% MoM (May 2026)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Advance retail inventories ex-autos rose +0.4% MoM in May 2026 to $564.84B; steady accumulation.", "news_notes": "FRED series ARIEAPS (Advance Retail Inventories: Retail Trade, Excluding Auto, SA, $M): May 2026 = 564,835 vs Apr 2026 = 562,618, a +0.39% MoM increase. Data released 2026-06-26 (realtime_start confirms). Part of the Census Bureau Advance Economic Indicators Report. No consensus estimate was available, so status is neutral. The +0.4% build indicates retailers continue adding stock at a moderate pace, consistent with firms rebuilding/normalizing inventories.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T13:18:34Z"}, {"id": 75, "title": "Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-26T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-26T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "49.5", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "June 2026 final Index of Consumer Sentiment came in at 49.5, up +10.5% MoM from 44.8 in May (the largest monthly gain in over two years), as gas prices moderated and sentiment improved across income, wealth, and political affiliation. However, it remains -18.5% YoY vs 60.7 a year ago.", "news_notes": "Confirmed the early-June preliminary reading (no revision). Current Economic Conditions sub-index: 47.7 (+4.1% MoM). Index of Consumer Expectations: 50.7 (+15.0% MoM). Year-ahead inflation expectations eased slightly, remaining a bit above the 2.8-3.2% range seen in 2024. Director Joanne Hsu noted sentiment remains in unfavorable territory despite the bounce. Note: FRED UMCSENT series had not yet propagated June data (latest was April 49.8); value sourced directly from UMich Surveys of Consumers.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T14:12:46Z"}, {"id": 76, "title": "Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-29T14:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-29T22:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "0.0", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "June Dallas Fed General Business Activity index was flat at 0.0 (vs 0.4 in May), indicating no change in activity. Production index fell 5.3 pts to 4.1 (decelerating growth); New Orders dropped to 2.3 from 6.4. Employment rebounded strongly to 13.9 from 0.2. Prices Received surged to 28.6 from 18.9. Outlook Uncertainty fell to 10.9. Future General Business Activity jumped to 25.9 from 14.3.", "news_notes": "Source: FRB Dallas Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (TMOS) June 2026 release. Headline General Business Activity = 0.0 (flat, -0.4 vs May). Mixed report: production and new orders weakened, but employment, prices received, and 6-month outlook improved. No Bloomberg consensus estimate was available for this event.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-29T15:12:34Z"}, {"id": 2814, "title": "Lowering the Cost of Living by Promoting the Freedom to Fix", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-29T19:53:41Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T03:53:41+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/lowering-the-cost-of-living-by-promoting-the-freedom-to-fix/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - MEMORANDUM FOR THE ADMINISTRATOR OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, I hereby direct: Se", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Presidential Memorandum: Freedom to Fix (EPA directive)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Trump memorandum (6/29): Directs EPA to expand Americans' freedom to repair their own vehicles. Reduces regulatory barriers to independent auto repair.", "news_notes": "Presidential Memorandum to the EPA Administrator expanding the right to repair vehicles. Reduces manufacturer restrictions on access to diagnostic tools, parts, and software for independent repair shops and vehicle owners. Relevant to auto aftermarket and right-to-repair policy. Companion Fact Sheet is event 2827.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:54Z"}, {"id": 2827, "title": "Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Lowers the Cost of Living by Promoting the Freedom to Fix", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-29T19:54:29Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T03:54:29+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/06/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-lowers-the-cost-of-living-by-promoting-the-freedom-to-fix/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - EXPANDING AMERICANS’ FREEDOM TO FIX THEIR OWN VEHICLES: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed a Presidential Memorandum expanding Americans’ freedom to fix their own vehicles. REDUCING REGULATO", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Fact Sheet: Freedom to Fix (companion to 2814)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Fact Sheet (6/29): Trump lowers cost of living by promoting the Freedom to Fix — expanding Americans' right to repair their own vehicles. Companion to memorandum (event 2814).", "news_notes": "Companion Fact Sheet to the Freedom to Fix Presidential Memorandum (event 2814). Frames the action as reducing regulatory burdens and lowering the cost of living by enabling independent vehicle repair.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:56Z"}, {"id": 2826, "title": "Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Declares an Emergency and Authorizes the Temporary Suspension of Certain Duties on Phosphate Fertilizer from Morocco", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-29T23:26:58Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T07:26:58+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/06/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-an-emergency-and-authorizes-the-temporary-suspension-of-certain-duties-on-phosphate-fertilizer-from-morocco/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - PROTECTING AMERICA’S FOOD SUPPLY: Today, President Donald J. Trump took action to safeguard America’s food supply and support domestic agricultural production by authorizing the temporary suspens", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Fact Sheet: phosphate fertilizer tariff suspension (companion to 2813)", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Fact Sheet (6/29): Trump declares emergency and suspends duties on phosphate fertilizer from Morocco to protect America's food supply. Companion to proclamation (event 2813).", "news_notes": "Companion Fact Sheet to the phosphate fertilizer emergency proclamation (event 2813). Frames the temporary duty suspension as protecting America's food supply and supporting domestic agricultural production. Positive for farmers via lower fertilizer input costs.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:52Z"}, {"id": 2813, "title": "Declaration of Emergency and Authorization for Temporary Duty Free Importation of Phosphate Fertilizer Morocco", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-29T23:31:17Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T07:31:17+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/06/declaration-of-emergency-and-authorization-for-temporary-duty-free-importation-of-phosphate-fertilizer-morocco/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION 1.  Fertilizers are an essential component of agriculture and food production.  Producers of corn, soybeans, wheat, and a variety of oth", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Emergency declaration: temporary duty-free importation of phosphate fertilizer from Morocco", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Trump emergency proclamation (6/29): Authorizes temporary duty-free importation of phosphate fertilizer from Morocco to protect US food supply and support agriculture.", "news_notes": "President declared an emergency and authorized temporary duty-free (tariff-free) importation of phosphate fertilizer from Morocco. Phosphate is essential for corn, soybeans, wheat and other crops. Rationale: safeguarding America's food supply and supporting domestic agricultural production by lowering fertilizer input costs. This is a tariff EXEMPTION (cost reduction for ag sector) — notably counter-cyclical to the administration's general tariff posture. Positive for farmers, agribusiness (CF Industries, Mosaic, Nutrien may face competitive dynamics). Companion Fact Sheet is event 2826.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:50Z"}, {"id": 2810, "title": "Trump Executive Order: Advancing Regenerative Agriculture and Strengthening American Farm Resilience", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-30T12:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T20:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "Federal Register", "source_url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/06/30/2026-13254/advancing-regenerative-agriculture-and-strengthening-american-farm-resilience", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Presidential executive action", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Executive Order on regenerative agriculture and farm resilience", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Trump EO (6/30): Advancing Regenerative Agriculture and Strengthening American Farm Resilience. Promotes soil health, conservation practices, and domestic agricultural competitiveness.", "news_notes": "Executive Order advancing regenerative agriculture and strengthening American farm resilience. Focus areas: soil health practices, conservation, reducing regulatory barriers for farmers, promoting domestic agricultural production and competitiveness. Relevant to agribusiness, farm inputs, and commodity markets. Moderate policy impact on USDA programs and agricultural sector incentives.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:11Z"}, {"id": 84, "title": "S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-30T13:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T21:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "1.10%", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index YoY rose to 1.10% YoY in April 2026, up from 0.90% in March, slightly above ~1.0% consensus.", "news_notes": "S&P/Cotality Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index rose 1.10% year-over-year in April 2026, accelerating from a revised 0.90% in March. This marks a modest re-acceleration in home price gains and came in slightly above market expectations near 1.0%. The data (released June 30, 2026, for the April reporting month) suggests U.S. home price appreciation remains subdued but is firming. Note: FRED had not yet propagated the April observation at resolution time; value sourced from Trading Economics.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T13:22:01Z"}, {"id": 85, "title": "Chicago PMI", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-30T13:45:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T21:45:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "PMI", "actual_value": "56.7", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "Chicago PMI fell to 56.7 in June 2026, below consensus of 58.1 and down sharply from May's 62.7", "news_notes": "The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index registered 56.7 in June 2026, a notable decline from May's reading of 62.7 and falling short of the consensus expectation of 58.1. The index remains above 50, indicating expansion in the Chicago manufacturing sector, but at a slower pace than anticipated. The drop suggests potential economic slowdown in the region.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T14:17:53Z"}, {"id": 86, "title": "CB Consumer Confidence", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-30T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-06-30T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "CB", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T14:17:59Z"}, {"id": 88, "title": "API Crude Oil Stock Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-06-30T20:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-01T04:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "API", "actual_value": "+6.072M barrels (build)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 6.072 million barrels in the week ended June 26, snapping a long streak of draws; a sharp reversal from the prior week's -0.77M draw.", "news_notes": "API Weekly Statistical Bulletin (released evening of June 30, 2026, covering week ended June 26). Actual: +6.072M barrels (build). Previous (week ended June 19): -0.77M barrels (draw). No market consensus estimate was available for this release. The large unexpected build is bearish for crude prices, contradicting the multi-week drawdown trend (inventories had fallen for ~8 consecutive weeks prior). Not a FRED/BLS series — resolved via Trading Economics which republishes API data.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T21:15:05Z"}, {"id": 94, "title": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-01T11:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-01T19:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "MBA", "actual_value": "6.49%", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate stood at 6.49% for the week ending 2026-06-25, up 2 bps from 6.47% the prior week. Rates have hovered in a tight 6.47–6.52% band over the past four weeks.", "news_notes": "FRED series MORTGAGE30US (30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States). Latest observation: 2026-06-25 = 6.49. Prior: 2026-06-18 = 6.47. No formal consensus estimate available for this weekly series; classified as_expected given range-bound movement. The MBA weekly release for the survey week ending 2026-07-02 had not yet been posted as of resolution time.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T11:11:24Z"}, {"id": 208, "title": "ADP Non-Farm Employment Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-01T12:15:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-01T20:15:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Schedule (Wed before NFP)", "source_url": "https://www.adp.org/employment-report/", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Private sector employment, NFP preview", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "ADP", "actual_value": "98000", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "Private sector employment increased by 98,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations. Annual pay growth held at 4.4%. ADP National Employment Report released July 1, 2026.", "news_notes": "June 2026 ADP report showed 98K private jobs added, below consensus expectations. Annual pay growth steady at 4.4%. Reported by ADP, covered by CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Fox Business.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-03T01:21:40Z"}, {"id": 96, "title": "ISM Manufacturing Employment", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-01T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "ISM", "actual_value": "49.7", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "ISM Manufacturing Employment Index registered 49.7% in June 2026, up 1.1 pts from May's 48.6% but remaining in contraction (below 50) for the 33rd consecutive month. Nine of 18 manufacturing industries reported employment growth; sentiment shifted to ~36% still managing headcount vs 64% hiring, a near reversal from earlier in the year.", "news_notes": "A reading above 50.3% over time is generally consistent with an increase in BLS manufacturing employment. Index has contracted in 41 of the last 42 months since January 2023. Improvement in June points to gradual labor stabilization in manufacturing but not yet net hiring. No formal consensus estimate was available; status assessed against the expected ongoing contraction.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T14:16:01Z"}, {"id": 98, "title": "EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-01T14:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-01T22:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - No estimates available", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "EIA", "actual_value": "-6.1M barrels", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (released 7/1/2026, for week ending 6/19): U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excl. SPR) fell by ~6.1 million barrels to 412.1 million bbl, from 418.2 million bbl the prior week. This is the largest draw in 6 weeks, continuing a steep destocking trend from the late-January peak (~427M). Drawdowns driven by strong refinery utilization entering peak summer driving season.", "news_notes": "Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, series WCESTUS1 (Weekly U.S. Ending Stocks excluding SPR of Crude Oil). Values: 06/19=412,134k; 06/12=418,222k; net change=-6,088k bbl. No estimate available to classify as better/worse.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T15:16:33Z"}, {"id": 195, "title": "IPO: Meridian3 Industrials Acquisition Corp on NASDAQ Global", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-02T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-02T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NASDAQ Global", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-07-02T22:11:05Z"}, {"id": 209, "title": "Non-Farm Payrolls", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-03T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-03T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Schedule (First Friday)", "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Monthly US employment report, market-moving", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold", "estimate": null, "previous": "158927", "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "158984", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "Nonfarm Payrolls: 158984 (prev: 158927); Unemployment Rate: 4.2 (prev: 4.3); Avg Hourly Earnings: 32.38 (prev: 32.31)", "news_notes": "{\n  \"Nonfarm Payrolls\": {\n    \"actual\": \"158984\",\n    \"previous\": \"158927\",\n    \"date\": \"2026-06-01\",\n    \"source\": \"FRED\",\n    \"unit\": \"thousands\",\n    \"description\": \"Total Nonfarm Payrolls\"\n  },\n  \"Unemployment Rate\": {\n    \"actual\": \"4.2\",\n    \"previous\": \"4.3\",\n    \"date\": \"2026-06-01\",\n    \"source\": \"FRED\",\n    \"unit\": \"%\",\n    \"description\": \"Unemployment Rate\"\n  },\n  \"Avg Hourly Earnings\": {\n    \"actual\": \"32.38\",\n    \"previous\": \"32.31\",\n    \"date\": \"2026-06-01\",\n    \"source\": \"FRED\",\n    \"unit\": \"$\",\n    \"description\": \"Avg Hourly Earnings: Total Private\"\n  }\n}", "resolved_at": "2026-07-03T09:41:20Z"}, {"id": 2812, "title": "250th Anniversary of the Adoption of the Declaration of Independence", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-03T19:57:05Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-04T03:57:05+08:00", "weekday_en": "Saturday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/250th-anniversary-of-the-adoption-of-the-declaration-of-independence/", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION Two hundred and fifty years ago, the Founders of our great Republic gathered in Philadelphia to fulfill a God-given destiny —", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Presidential Proclamation: 250th Anniversary of the Declaration of Independence", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Trump proclamation (7/3): Commemorating the 250th anniversary of the adoption of the Declaration of Independence (1776-2026). Ceremonial/national heritage event.", "news_notes": "Presidential Proclamation marking the 250th anniversary (semiquincentennial) of the adoption of the Declaration of Independence. Commemorates the Founders gathering in Philadelphia. Part of the America 250 celebration. Ceremonial with no direct market or economic policy impact, though it anchors the broader America 250 national observance throughout 2026.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:16:09Z"}, {"id": 2823, "title": "Saving America’s Story", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-05T00:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-05T08:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Sunday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/saving-americas-story/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - The post Saving America’s Story appeared first on The White House.", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "White House blog post", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "White House blog post 'Saving America Story' — part of America 250 heritage content. No policy or market impact.", "news_notes": "White House blog post 'Saving America Story' — part of America 250 heritage content. No policy or market impact.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:07Z"}, {"id": 2822, "title": "Presidential Message on the Anniversary of the United States Secret Service", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-05T23:02:52Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-06T07:02:52+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2026/07/presidential-message-on-the-anniversary-of-the-united-states-secret-service/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - On the 161st anniversary of the United States Secret Service, we celebrate the extraordinary professionals who, with absolute selflessness and little fanfare, work to protect our Nation’s leaders and ", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Ceremonial message", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Presidential message on 161st anniversary of the US Secret Service. Ceremonial, no economic impact.", "news_notes": "Presidential message on 161st anniversary of the US Secret Service. Ceremonial, no economic impact.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:07Z"}, {"id": 2821, "title": "America 250: Presidential Message on the Anniversary of the Battle of Chippawa", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-05T23:06:52Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-06T07:06:52+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2026/07/america-250-presidential-message-on-the-anniversary-of-the-battle-of-chippawa/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - Today, our Nation commemorates the Battle of Chippawa—the historic victory in which American forces decisively defeated the British Army on July 5, 1814.  During the early days of our young Repub", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Ceremonial proclamation", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "America 250 presidential message commemorating the Battle of Chippawa (1814). Historical/ceremonial, no economic impact.", "news_notes": "America 250 presidential message commemorating the Battle of Chippawa (1814). Historical/ceremonial, no economic impact.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:07Z"}, {"id": 2820, "title": "President Trump Rings in Trump Accounts with Historic Opening Bell Ceremony from the Oval Office", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-06T18:15:57Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-07T02:15:57+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/president-trump-rings-in-trump-accounts-with-historic-opening-bell-ceremony-from-the-oval-office/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - In a historic first, President Donald J. Trump today rang the opening bells of both the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ from the Oval Office, marking the official launch of Trump Accounts and ignit", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Trump Accounts launch", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Trump rang NYSE and NASDAQ opening bells from Oval Office to launch Trump Accounts (government-sponsored investment/savings accounts for children). Ceremonial market event.", "news_notes": "Trump rang NYSE and NASDAQ opening bells from Oval Office to launch Trump Accounts (government-sponsored investment/savings accounts for children). Ceremonial market event.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:06Z"}, {"id": 2819, "title": "Democrats Fought Against Historic Tax Cuts. Now They’re Fighting Against Opportunity for America’s Kids.", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-07T21:02:50Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-08T05:02:50+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/democrats-fought-against-historic-tax-cuts-now-theyre-fighting-against-opportunity-for-americas-kids/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - President Donald J. Trump and Republicans delivered the largest middle- and working-class tax cuts in history through the Working Families Tax Cuts, which Democrats fought every step of the way. Now, ", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Political messaging", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Political messaging on Working Families Tax Cuts and school choice/education opportunity. Partisan narrative, no new policy action or market impact.", "news_notes": "Political messaging on Working Families Tax Cuts and school choice/education opportunity. Partisan narrative, no new policy action or market impact.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:06Z"}, {"id": 193, "title": "IPO: Tarsier Pharma Ltd. on NYSE", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-09T00:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-09T08:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "US Equities - IPO", "source": "Finnhub", "source_url": "https://finnhub.io", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - IPO on NYSE", "asset_impact": "Market sentiment indicator", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "NYSE", "actual_value": "AUTO_RESOLVE_FAILED", "result_status": "unknown", "result_summary": "自动采集失败，待人工补充", "news_notes": null, "resolved_at": "2026-07-09T00:11:41Z"}, {"id": 2818, "title": "Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Secures Historic Defense Investment from NATO Allies, Powering American Industry", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-09T00:20:35Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-09T08:20:35+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/07/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-secures-historic-defense-investment-from-nato-allies-powering-american-industry/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - STRENGTHENING THE U.S. DEFENSE INDUSTRIAL BASE: This week, at NATO’s 2026 Ankara Summit, President Donald J. Trump announced a surge in defense investment from Allies, increasing market", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "NATO", "actual_value": "Defense investment announcement", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Trump announces surge in NATO Ally defense investment from 2026 Ankara Summit. Strengthens US defense industrial base. Mildly positive for defense sector (LMT, RTX, NOC).", "news_notes": "Trump announces surge in NATO Ally defense investment from 2026 Ankara Summit. Strengthens US defense industrial base. Mildly positive for defense sector (LMT, RTX, NOC).", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:06Z"}, {"id": 210, "title": "Initial Jobless Claims", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-09T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-09T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Thursday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "Schedule (Every Thursday)", "source_url": "https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Weekly unemployment claims", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "215,000", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Initial Jobless Claims came in at 215,000 for the week ending July 4, 2026, a decrease of 2,000 from the prior week's revised 217,000. This marks the lowest level in over a month and points to continued labor market resilience, with the 4-week moving average at ~218.75K. Claims have steadily declined from a June peak of 230K.", "news_notes": "FRED series ICSA. Latest observation: 2026-07-04 = 215,000. Prior: 2026-06-27 = 217,000. Trend: improving (down 6.5% from June peak of 230K). Lower claims are bullish for labor market / risk assets; reduces near-term recession signal.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-09T13:11:52Z"}, {"id": 2811, "title": "Adjusting Imports of Commercial Aircraft, Jet Engines, and Aircraft and Engine Parts into the United States", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-09T20:21:16Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-10T04:21:16+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/adjusting-imports-of-commercial-aircraft-jet-engines-and-aircraft-and-engine-parts-into-the-united-states/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION 1.  Within the past 90 days, the Secretary of Commerce (Secretary) transmitted to me a report on his investigation into the effects", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Section 232 tariffs on commercial aircraft, jet engines, and parts imports", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Trump proclamation (7/9): Section 232 tariffs on imports of commercial aircraft, jet engines, and aircraft/engine parts. Commerce found these threaten national security; tariffs to support US aerospace industry.", "news_notes": "President signed a Proclamation under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 imposing tariffs on imports of commercial aircraft, jet engines, and aircraft/engine parts. Commerce investigation found these imports threaten national security. Aimed at supporting US aerospace industrial base (Boeing, GE Aerospace, Pratt and Whitney). Market-relevant for aerospace/defense sector. Raises costs for airlines and MRO providers reliant on foreign parts; protective for US manufacturers. Companion Fact Sheet is event 2816.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:58Z"}, {"id": 2816, "title": "Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Adjusts Imports of Commercial Aircraft, Jet Engines, and Aircraft and Engine Parts into the United States", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-09T20:23:18Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-10T04:23:18+08:00", "weekday_en": "Friday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/07/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-adjusts-imports-of-commercial-aircraft-jet-engines-and-aircraft-and-engine-parts-into-the-united-states/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - SUPPORTING AMERICAN INDUSTRY: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed a Proclamation pursuant to Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 (Act) ordering the U.S. Secretary of Commerce and U", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Fact Sheet for Section 232 aircraft tariffs (companion to 2811)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Fact Sheet (7/9): Trump adjusts commercial aircraft/jet engine/parts imports under Section 232. Orders Commerce and USTR to support American aerospace industry. Companion to proclamation (event 2811).", "news_notes": "Companion Fact Sheet to the Section 232 aircraft tariff proclamation (event 2811). Frames the action as Supporting American Industry. Orders Secretary of Commerce and US Trade Representative to implement measures protecting domestic aerospace manufacturing base. Affects Boeing (BA), GE Aerospace (GE), RTX and Pratt and Whitney (RTX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), and foreign suppliers (Airbus, Rolls-Royce).", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:59Z"}, {"id": 2815, "title": "Minnesota Democrats Pardoned a Convicted Child Rapist. President Trump Deported Him.", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-10T17:39:42Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-11T01:39:42+08:00", "weekday_en": "Saturday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/minnesota-democrats-pardoned-a-convicted-child-rapist-president-trump-deported-him/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - A convicted child sex offender is no longer in our country thanks to President Donald J. Trump and his Administration — defeating a sick attempt by Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Attorney General Keith E", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Political messaging", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Minnesota deportation story — convicted child sex offender deported after state pardon. Law enforcement/immigration political messaging, no direct market impact.", "news_notes": "Minnesota deportation story — convicted child sex offender deported after state pardon. Law enforcement/immigration political messaging, no direct market impact.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:17:06Z"}, {"id": 2809, "title": "Speech - Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T09:25:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-13T17:25:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Monday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/calendar.htm", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Modernizing Financial Regulation", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Keynote at BPI London Conference on regulatory modernization", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Vice Chair Bowman (7/13, BPI London): Modernizing Financial Regulation. Outlined 4 principles for regulatory modernization — prioritize material risks, move from 'more is better' to targeted risk-based oversight. Cited SVB failure lessons.", "news_notes": "Bowman spoke at the Bank Policy Institute London Conference on modernizing financial regulation. As chairman of the FSB's Standing Committee on Supervisory and Regulatory Cooperation (SRC), she outlined guiding principles: (1) Prioritize material financial risks — cited SVB failure where supervisors had dozens of findings but missed the material risks; 'more findings do not equal better supervision'; (2) Move from 'more is better' approach to targeted, risk-based oversight; (3) Framework must evolve with the financial system, preserve stability, promote growth. Supervisory/regulatory focus — not directly monetary policy relevant but signals deregulation/modernization direction under Warsh Fed.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:05Z"}, {"id": 6479, "title": "Death of Senator Lindsey Graham", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T16:06:47Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T00:06:47+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/death-of-senator-lindsey-graham/", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION As a mark of respect for the memory and longstanding service of Senator Lindsey Graham, I hereby order, by the authority vested in ", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Senator Lindsey Graham Passes Away", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Senator Lindsey Graham passed away; President Trump issued a proclamation marking respect.", "news_notes": "Flags to be flown at half-staff through funeral.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:53Z"}, {"id": 2808, "title": "Speech - Governor Christopher J. Waller", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T16:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T00:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://onemetlife.webex.com/onemetlife/j.php?MTID=mbbedc1dd8ba1351aa71d43af74b7592a", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Economic Outlook", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Hawkish — core inflation rising (3.0%→3.4% Dec→May); open to tighter policy", "result_status": "worse", "result_summary": "Gov. Waller (7/13): Economy solid but 'inflation and monetary policy are at a crossroads.' Core PCE rose from 3.0% (Dec 2025) to 3.4% (May). Concerned about repeating 2021 mistake; open to tighter policy if data doesn't improve.", "news_notes": "Waller's economic outlook speech (7/13). Key points: (1) Real economy in good shape — resilient household/business spending despite tariff and Middle East energy price shocks, labor market stable; (2) Core inflation steadily rising — 12-month core PCE went from 3.0% (Dec 2025) to 3.4% (May), excluding direct energy effects; (3) 'Past the point' of attributing price increases to earlier tariff hikes; (4) Explicitly referenced the 2021 mistake of not responding sooner to inflation — 'determined to avoid repeating it'; (5) But acknowledged credible case for inflation falling back to 2% at current policy setting; (6) 'Committed to returning inflation to 2% but determined to avoid overtightening and risking recession.' Most hawkish of the week's speakers. Flagged next day's CPI data as critical input.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:14:38Z"}, {"id": 6488, "title": "President Trump Honors the Life and Legacy of Senator Lindsey Graham", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T17:21:08Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T01:21:08+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/president-trump-honors-the-life-and-legacy-of-senator-lindsey-graham/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - President Donald J. Trump reflected on the life and legacy of Senator Lindsey Graham following his sudden passing this weekend. Speaking in several interviews, President Trump spoke of his close frien", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "N/A", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) passed away on July 11, 2026 at age 71. President Trump honored his legacy in multiple interviews, reflecting on their close friendship and Graham's service as a Senator from 2003 until his death.", "news_notes": "Lindsey Olin Graham (July 9, 1955 - July 11, 2026) was a Republican U.S. Senator from South Carolina who served from 2003 until his death. He previously represented SC-3 in the House (1995-2003) and served in the SC House of Representatives (1993-1995). President Trump spoke of their close friendship in several interviews following Graham's sudden passing.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T04:12:58Z"}, {"id": 6487, "title": "President Trump’s Relentless Strategy Is Dismantling Fentanyl Networks and Saving Lives", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T18:54:35Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T02:54:35+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/president-trumps-relentless-strategy-is-dismantling-fentanyl-networks-and-saving-lives/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - This week, the Trump Administration convenes the inaugural Fentanyl Free America Summit, bringing together partners from across the country to lock in and accelerate the historic progress achieved aga", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "N/A", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "The Trump Administration convened the inaugural Fentanyl Free America Summit, building on historic progress against fentanyl. The administration signed the HALT Fentanyl Act in July 2025 to prosecute traffickers, and Reuters reported in April 2025 that U.S. fentanyl deaths had been plunging.", "news_notes": "The Fentanyl Free America Summit was convened to lock in and accelerate progress against fentanyl networks. The administration's approach includes the HALT Fentanyl Act (signed July 16, 2025), DEA enforcement actions, and tariff/immigration policies targeting the opioid epidemic. Reuters reported in April 2025 that U.S. fentanyl deaths had been plunging, though the administration's enforcement-heavy approach has faced scrutiny over the accuracy of some DEA arrest claims.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T04:13:07Z"}, {"id": 6478, "title": "Nominations Sent to the Senate", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T20:39:42Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T04:39:42+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/nominations-sent-to-the-senate-3fd0/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - NOMINATIONS SENT TO THE SENATE: Keith Sonderling, of Florida, to be Secretary of Labor. Andrew A. De Mello, of Virginia, to be a Judge of the United States Tax Court for a term of fifteen years.\nThe p", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Nominations Sent", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Keith Sonderling nominated for Secretary of Labor, Andrew De Mello nominated for Tax Court Judge.", "news_notes": "Key appointments requiring Senate confirmation.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:46:32Z"}, {"id": 6477, "title": "Modifying the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T22:10:38Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T06:10:38+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/modifying-the-grand-staircase-escalante-national-monument/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION On September 18, 1996, as part of an effort to prevent development of significant coal reserves and other resources on the Kaiparowits P", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Grand Staircase-Escalante Monument Modified", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "President Trump modified Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument boundaries to restore sensible land management and enable resource development.", "news_notes": "Monument size reduced from 1.9 million acres to approximately 1 million acres.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:30Z"}, {"id": 6486, "title": "Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Modifies Two National Monuments, Restoring Sensible Land Management", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T22:13:50Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T06:13:50+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/07/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-modifies-two-national-monuments-restoring-sensible-land-management/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - RIGHTSIZING UTAH NATIONAL MONUMENTS: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed Proclamations modifying two Utah national monuments, the Bears Ears National Monument and Grand Staircase-Escalante Nationa", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "National Monument Modifications Approved", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "President Trump signed proclamations modifying two Utah national monuments - Bears Ears and Grand Staircase-Escalante - restoring sensible land management.", "news_notes": "Monument sizes reduced by approximately 85% and 51% respectively, unlocking resource development.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:41:54Z"}, {"id": 6476, "title": "Modifying the Bears Ears National Monument", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T22:14:23Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T06:14:23+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/modifying-the-bears-ears-national-monument/", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION On December 28, 2016, President Obama issued Proclamation 9558, which established the Bears Ears National Monument (Monument) in the Sta", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Bears Ears Monument Modified", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "President Trump modified Bears Ears National Monument boundaries to restore multiple-use land management and enable local input.", "news_notes": "Monument size reduced from 1.35 million acres to approximately 201,397 acres.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:42:36Z"}, {"id": 6475, "title": "Regulatory Relief for Certain Stationary Sources to Promote American Chemical Manufacturing Security", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T22:23:12Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T06:23:12+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/regulatory-relief-for-certain-stationary-sources-to-promote-american-chemical-manufacturing-security-be40/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION 1.  The United States relies on a strong chemical manufacturing sector to support industries like energy, national defense, agricul", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Chemical Manufacturing Regulatory Relief", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "President Trump signed a proclamation granting regulatory relief for stationary sources in chemical manufacturing sector.", "news_notes": "Streamlined permitting process expected to boost domestic chemical production and competitiveness.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:41:23Z"}, {"id": 6485, "title": "Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Grants Further Regulatory Relief from Burdensome EPA Restrictions to Promote American Security", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-13T22:23:56Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T06:23:56+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2026/07/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-grants-further-regulatory-relief-from-burdensome-epa-restrictions-to-promote-american-security/", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - PROVIDING REGULATORY RELIEF: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed a proclamation granting two years of regulatory relief from stringent Biden-era regulations that have hampered sectors vital t", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": "EPA", "actual_value": "EPA Regulatory Relief Granted", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "President Trump signed a proclamation granting two years of regulatory relief from stringent Biden-era EPA regulations affecting chemical manufacturing and energy sectors.", "news_notes": "Significant deregulation expected to boost industrial production and reduce compliance costs.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:40:39Z"}, {"id": 2800, "title": "Testimony - Chairman Kevin Warsh", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T14:00:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-14T22:00:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Tuesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://financialservices.house.gov/", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "First semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress (House, 7/14)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Chairman Warsh's first semiannual testimony to House Financial Services Committee. Held rates at 3.50-3.75%, hawkish on inflation, announced 5 Fed reform task forces. Same remarks delivered to Senate Banking 7/15.", "news_notes": "This is the House portion of Warsh's semiannual testimony (event 2176 is the Senate Banking portion on 7/15). See notes on event 2176 for full details. Economy described as resilient with surging AI investment; housing lagging. 5 task forces launched to reform Fed communications, balance sheet, data methodology, productivity assessment, and inflation frameworks.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:14:22Z"}, {"id": 2807, "title": "Speech - Governor Michael S. Barr", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T16:40:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T00:40:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Artificial Intelligence", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Keynote on AI and inequality at Fed Financial Inclusion Conference", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Gov. Barr (7/14): AI could broadly raise living standards OR exacerbate inequality. Outlined scenarios for AI's impact on lower/middle-income workers. General-purpose tech transitions can cause large, persistent dislocation.", "news_notes": "Barr spoke at the Fed's third annual Financial Inclusion Conference on AI's consequences for financial inclusion and the economy. Key themes: (1) AI could empower workers/productivity with lower/middle-income benefiting most — OR eliminate jobs and widen inequality; (2) Every major tech advance profoundly affects labor markets; long-run tends to raise living standards but transitions can be painful and persistent; (3) Key question is whether benefits are broadly shared or concentrated. Non-monetary-policy speech; conceptual/research-oriented. No market-moving signals.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:23Z"}, {"id": 2806, "title": "Discussion - Governor Michael S. Barr", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T16:55:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T00:55:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Fireside Chat on Artificial Intelligence and Financial Inclusion", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Fireside chat on AI and Financial Inclusion at Fed conference", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Gov. Barr (7/14): Fireside chat on AI and Financial Inclusion at Fed Financial Inclusion Conference. Companion to his keynote speech on AI's dual potential for productivity gains vs. inequality.", "news_notes": "Barr participated in a fireside chat on Artificial Intelligence and Financial Inclusion at the Fed's third annual Financial Inclusion Conference (7/14). This was a discussion-format companion to his keynote speech (event 2807) covering the same AI themes: potential productivity empowerment vs. job displacement/inequality risks for lower-income workers.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:24Z"}, {"id": 2805, "title": "Discussion - Governor Lisa D. Cook", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T17:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T01:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov", "impact_level": "Medium", "impact_analysis": "Medium - Consumers, Artificial Intelligence, and Financial Inclusion: Balancing Opportunities and Challenges", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Discussion on AI, consumers, and financial inclusion at Fed conference", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Gov. Cook (7/14): Discussion on 'Consumers, AI, and Financial Inclusion: Balancing Opportunities and Challenges' at Fed Financial Inclusion Conference. Part of the conference's AI and inclusion theme.", "news_notes": "Cook participated in a discussion at the Fed's third annual Financial Inclusion Conference (7/14) on consumers, AI, and financial inclusion — balancing opportunities and challenges. Part of the same conference program as Bowman and Barr's remarks. Theme: ensuring AI benefits in financial services reach underserved consumers. Non-monetary-policy; no market-moving signals.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:26Z"}, {"id": 2804, "title": "Speech - Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle W. Bowman", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T18:55:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T02:55:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Monetary Policy", "source": "Federal Reserve Calendar", "source_url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov", "impact_level": "High", "impact_analysis": "High - Responsible Innovation and Financial Inclusion", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Keynote at Fed Financial Inclusion Conference (pre-recorded video)", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Vice Chair Bowman (7/14): Responsible Innovation and Financial Inclusion at Fed's 3rd annual Financial Inclusion Conference. Emphasized banks' responsible innovation as a tool for expanding access to underserved communities.", "news_notes": "Bowman delivered pre-recorded remarks at the Federal Reserve Board's third annual Financial Inclusion Conference ('Next-Gen Financial Inclusion'). Key themes: (1) Banks are central to financial inclusion; innovation is their most powerful tool; (2) Responsible bank innovation can build faster/efficient payments, lower costs, expand product availability for underserved consumers/businesses, promote competition; (3) Innovation must be balanced with safety/soundness. Non-monetary-policy speech — focused on supervision and community development themes. No market-moving policy signals.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:15:03Z"}, {"id": 6474, "title": "Nominations and Withdrawals Sent to the Senate", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T19:12:59Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T03:12:59+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (Presidential Actions)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/07/nominations-and-withdrawals-sent-to-the-senate-e958/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - NOMINATIONS SENT TO THE SENATE: Maria D’Avanzo, of New York, to be Inspector General, General Services Administration. David Slade, of Florida, to be First Vice President of the Export-Import Ba", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Nominations Sent", "result_status": "neutral", "result_summary": "Maria D'Avanzo nominated for IG of GSA, David Slade for First VP of Export-Import Bank.", "news_notes": "Standard executive branch nominations requiring Senate confirmation.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:45:43Z"}, {"id": 6484, "title": "White House Launches Gold Eagle Initiative for Unprecedented Cybersecurity Vulnerability Coordination", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T19:50:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T03:50:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/white-house-launches-gold-eagle-initiative-for-unprecedented-cybersecurity-vulnerability-coordination/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - President Trump’s bold vision to secure and accelerate American artificial intelligence (AI) innovation is being actioned through the creation of “GOLD EAGLE,” a clearinghouse that enables unprecedent", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Gold Eagle Initiative Launched", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "White House launched Gold Eagle Initiative for unprecedented cybersecurity vulnerability coordination to accelerate American AI innovation.", "news_notes": "Creates clearinghouse for vulnerability reporting and coordination across public-private sector.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:44:47Z"}, {"id": 6483, "title": "Law Enforcement Leaders Across America Support Todd Blanche for Attorney General", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-14T20:52:20Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T04:52:20+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Political - Trump Policy", "source": "White House (News)", "source_url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/07/law-enforcement-leaders-across-america-support-todd-blanche-for-attorney-general/", "impact_level": "Low", "impact_analysis": "Low - President Donald J. Trump’s nominee for Attorney General, Todd Blanche, has secured strong endorsements from a powerful coalition of law enforcement organizations, state attorneys general, and public ", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD/Gold/Bonds (policy-dependent)", "estimate": null, "previous": null, "unit": null, "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Strong Law Enforcement Support", "result_status": "better", "result_summary": "Todd Blanche received strong endorsements from law enforcement organizations, state attorneys general, and public safety officials for Attorney General.", "news_notes": "Broad coalition support indicates confidence in nominee's commitment to law and order.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17T03:44:41Z"}, {"id": 2174, "title": "Consumer Price Index (CPI)", "datetime_utc": "2026-07-15T12:30:00Z", "datetime_bj": "2026-07-15T20:30:00+08:00", "weekday_en": "Wednesday", "type": "Macro - Economic Data", "source": "BLS 2026 Official Schedule", "source_url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm", "impact_level": "Extremely High", "impact_analysis": "Extremely High - Monthly inflation data", "asset_impact": "BTC/ETH/US Equities/USD", "estimate": null, "previous": "333.979", "unit": "Index 1982-84=100", "symbol": null, "actual_value": "Headline: 332.568 / Core: 336.121 → Jun: Headline 332.568 / Core 336.065", "result_status": "as_expected", "result_summary": "CPI Jun-2026: Headline 332.568 (-0.42% MoM, +3.46% YoY), Core 336.065 (-0.02% MoM, +2.57% YoY). Monthly deflation in headline; core flat.", "news_notes": "June 2026 CPI released July 15. Headline fell from 333.979 to 332.568 (−1.411 pts, −0.42% MoM) — first monthly decline, driven by energy. Core CPI essentially flat at 336.065 vs 336.121 (−0.02% MoM). YoY: headline +3.46%, core +2.57% (both cooling from prior months). Read as disinflationary; supportive of continued Fed rate cuts. FRED series: CPIAUCSL / CPILFESL.", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16T01:12:00Z"}], "db_stats": {"total_future": 99, "next_7_days": 6, "next_30_days": 18, "total_past": 188, "total_all": 287, "by_impact_future": {"Extremely High": 25, "High": 64, "Medium": 10}, "by_type_future": {"Macro - Economic Data": 78, "Macro - FOMC": 11, "Macro - Monetary Policy": 1, "Political - Trump Policy": 1, "US Equities - Earnings": 8}, "date_range": {"first": "2026-01-29T19:00:00Z", "last": "2027-12-14T19:00:00Z"}, "resolved_count": 188, "pending_resolution": 0}, "meta": {"source": "SQLite (BLS/BEA/Fed)", "query_params": {"status": "resolved", "days": 30, "type": null}, "rate_limit": "100 requests/hour per IP", "your_remaining": 96}}